Decision Making

Which cause to work on? | Kit Harris

This is a talk for people who want to figure out which cause to work on and are just getting started in doing so. Kit Harris leads on grant investigations and researches promising fields at Longview Philanthropy. He also writes about our recommendations and research for our philanthropists.┬áPrior to focusing on high-impact philanthropic work, Kit …

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Using “Back of the Envelope Calculations” (BOTECs) to prioritize interventions | Zachary Robinson

Zach talks about why, when, and how to use “Back Of The Envelope Calculations” (BOTECs) to inform altruistic decision-making and walks through an example to demonstrate key concepts. Zachary Robinson is a research fellow at open philanthropy. Open Philanthropy is an organization whose mission is to give as effectively as they can and share their …

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Decoupling: a technique for reducing bias | David Manley

Overcoming confirmation bias in our thinking requires decoupling: evaluating the strength of new evidence independently from our prior views. David explains how to implement some easy cognitive techniques that have been shown to help us successfully decouple; and how even informal decoupling approximates Bayesian reasoning. David Manley is an associate professor of philosophy at the …

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