EAG 2019 SF: Doing good in an infinite chaotic world (Hayden Wilkinson)

Many people in the EA community hope to make the world better by influencing events in the far future. But if the future can potentially contain an infinite number of lives, and infinite total moral value, we face major challenges in understanding the impact of our actions and justifying any particular strategy. In this academic session, Hayden Wilkinson discusses how we might be able to face these challenges — even if it means abandoning some of our moral principles in the process.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org

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EAG 2019 SF: Climate change deaths increase the social cost of carbon (R. Daniel Bressler)

Popular models for the effects of climate change human welfare usually focus on its long-term economic impacts — but often leave out its impact on human mortality.

R. Daniel Bressler, a PhD candidate in Columbia University’s Sustainable Development program, extended one such model to include mortality costs, and found that this significantly increased the model’s estimate for the welfare consequences of climate change. In this academic session, he discusses this work, and explains how a similar approach could help us model welfare costs for global catastrophic risks like nuclear war and pandemics.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Cooperating with future generations: An experimental investigation (Ben Grodeck)

If you take actions that affect the future, you don’t just change the eventual welfare of people who have yet to exist — you actually influence which people exist in the first place. Typical moral principles, when applied to such actions, yield paradoxical results.

In this academic session, Ben Grodeck, a PhD candidate in economics at Monash University, discusses the results of an experiment where individuals came face-to-face with this moral puzzle — and how an “identity-affecting” task led them to be less generous.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Fireside Chat with Philip Tetlock

Philip Tetlock is an expert on forecasting; he’s spent decades studying how people make predictions — from political pundits to CIA analysts. In this conversation, he discusses a wide range of topics, including prediction algorithms, the long-term future, and his Good Judgment Project (which identified common traits of the most skilled forecasters). To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Current Work in AI Alignment (Paul Christiano)

Paul Christiano, a researcher at OpenAI, discusses the current state of research on aligning AI with human values: what’s happening now, what needs to happen, and how people can help. This talk covers a broad set of subgoals within alignment research, from inferring human preferences to verifying the properties of advanced systems. To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Forecasting research results (Eva Vivalt)

People know a lot of things about the world. Collectively, they can often make good predictions about the results of social science research before it even happens. Eva Vivalt, a researcher at the Australian National University, is building a platform to collect these predictions. In this talk, she discusses what social science stands to gain through the use of forecasting, from better research design to improvements in public policy.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Policy change in low and middle-income countries (Norma Altshuler)

A single law or social program in a single country can affect the well-being of tens or hundreds of millions of people. Policy change represents a massive opportunity for impact — but may require different tactics and types of organizations than the EA community usually supports. In this talk, the Hewlett Foundation’s Norma Altshuler describes promising strategies for policy work in low and middle-income countries, as well as practical and moral considerations for people who want to pursue this kind of work.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: What animal advocates can learn from medicine and global development (Neil Buddy Shah)

Despite recent advancements, research on animal welfare is still underdeveloped compared to that in fields like medicine or development economics. In this talk, Neil Buddy Shah, the co-founder and CEO of IDinsight, draws on lessons from those fields to argue that a coordinated, multi-year research agenda can accelerate improvements in animal welfare.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: How can we see the impact of AI strategy research? (Jade Leung)

For now, the field of AI strategy is mostly focused on asking good questions and trying to answer them. But what comes next? In this talk, Jade Leung, Head of Research at the Center for the Governance of AI, discusses how we should think about practical elements of AI strategy, including policy work, advocacy, and branding.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

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EAG 2019 SF: Risks from great-power competition (Dani Nedal)

When competition intensifies between powerful countries, peace and security are threatened in many ways — proxy wars break out, and global cooperation breaks down (including agreements on nuclear weapons). In this talk, Dani Nedal, who teaches “Global Nuclear Politics” at Carnegie Mellon University, offers thoughts on these risks, and how countries and individuals can work to reduce them.

To learn more about effective altruism, visit effectivealtruism.org

This talk was filmed at EA Global 2019: San Francisco. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org.

Original Video